Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.436608 0.478372 0.523052 0.574520 0.632313 0.695362 0.769565
2026-01-25 0.370642 0.429275 0.496423 0.579508 0.680228 0.799233 0.951763
2026-02-01 0.323623 0.388640 0.466520 0.567642 0.696871 0.858407 1.078659
2026-02-08 0.295853 0.365794 0.452681 0.570067 0.726866 0.932508 1.228419
2026-02-15 0.271407 0.343707 0.436277 0.565578 0.744915 0.990084 1.359999
2026-02-22 0.253895 0.328460 0.426542 0.567738 0.770443 1.058452 1.512903
2026-03-01 0.235956 0.310859 0.411691 0.560689 0.781154 1.105294 1.637795
2026-03-08 0.219814 0.294303 0.396667 0.551523 0.787022 1.144303 1.753677
2026-03-15 0.203218 0.275857 0.377458 0.534311 0.778612 1.159626 1.831568
2026-03-22 0.196686 0.271174 0.377469 0.545413 0.814287 1.247318 2.041681
2026-03-29 0.190116 0.265906 0.376084 0.553972 0.846247 1.331601 2.256471
2026-04-05 0.182838 0.259067 0.371766 0.557361 0.869677 1.403312 2.457343
2026-04-12 0.175463 0.251773 0.366460 0.559034 0.890855 1.474204 2.669051
2026-04-19 0.169374 0.246083 0.363265 0.563881 0.917896 1.558546 2.920756
2026-04-26 0.160204 0.235074 0.350938 0.552404 0.914814 1.586296 3.058705
2026-05-03 0.154701 0.229504 0.346949 0.554750 0.936744 1.663735 3.315343
2026-05-10 0.148267 0.222091 0.339480 0.550408 0.945716 1.716396 3.524613
2026-05-17 0.143559 0.217196 0.335845 0.552497 0.966866 1.795618 3.808483
2026-05-24 0.137521 0.209819 0.327618 0.545678 0.970047 1.837691 4.009450
2026-05-31 0.131526 0.202229 0.318618 0.536811 0.968351 1.869037 4.188673
2026-06-07 0.124567 0.192727 0.305866 0.520156 0.949599 1.861212 4.265078
2026-06-14 0.122651 0.191625 0.307618 0.530899 0.987811 1.984322 4.714157
2026-06-21 0.120420 0.189867 0.308094 0.539180 1.021550 2.101222 5.170421